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Impavid Bulletin

markets

In the third quarter, spanning July to September, India's three major state-run fuel retailers announced a combined net profit of Rs 30,106 crore, reversing a previous loss of Rs 18,150 crore. This profitability surge defied the ongoing freeze on petrol and diesel prices since May. Indian Oil Corporation achieved its highest standalone quarterly net profit, buoyed by strong refining margins, yet faces ongoing challenges related to fuel under-recoveries.

Ten actively traded penny stocks have fallen between 34% and 73% over the past three months, highlighting the risks associated with low-priced shares. Cropster Agro recorded the steepest decline at 73%, followed by Bridge Securities and Empower India, which dropped 55% and 50%, respectively.

Carlsberg has filed an updated draft red herring prospectus for its potential IPO in India. Pernod Ricard continues to prepare for its proposed listing while awaiting board approval for its Indian business. Coca-Cola is exploring a potential IPO for its Indian bottling operations, emphasizing the value in the domestic market. These developments indicate a growing interest in public listings among multinational beverage companies in India.

Regulation is vital for protecting consumers and building trust, but unpredictable or poorly calibrated policy changes can disrupt business economics, valuations and investment.

Sensex and Nifty ended the week up about 0.5%, supported by resilient large-cap, IT and healthcare stocks. However, midcap and smallcap indices fell as much as 2% amid rising crude oil prices, inflation concerns and a global technology sell-off.

Stefan Bollinger highlights the potential risk of an AI bubble affecting global markets significantly. He notes that India's equity valuation correction is healthy, maintaining the country's growth story. Investors are increasingly diversifying their portfolios with a focus on hedge funds and private equity. The Fed's decision on rates remains uncertain, though high inflation complicates matters. Rising yields in Japan are likely to attract domestic investors back to their markets.

Nifty has recently surged by nearly 2%, approaching the resistance level at 23,200. Analysts recommend building long positions to capitalize on a potential breakout. Support is set between 22,600 and 22,800, serving as a buffer. Recommended stocks for investment this week include DLF and Zensar Technologies. Investors should exercise caution in the broader market until significant resistance levels are broken.

Foreign portfolio investors have shifted from aggressive selling to net buying of Indian equities recently. They invested nearly $1.2 billion over the last ten trading sessions, particularly in large-cap stocks. This change in behavior may be attributed to concerns regarding the artificial intelligence trade influencing investor decisions. Globally, markets saw corrections, while Indian indices had a mixed performance in October.

Benchmark indices demonstrated remarkable strength, finishing above key thresholds due to robust demand for large-cap equities. However, surging Brent crude oil prices are still triggering concerns relating to the macroeconomic environment among investors. The India VIX index has recorded a slight increase in market anxiety, signaling cautious attitudes from investors.