We have witnessed a commendable bull run in the Equity Market from March 2020 to October 2022, during which we have seen a rally across the market caps and sectors.

"If you look at the ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund, in March 2020, when the markets fell a lot, we had reached almost 77% equity level which is on the higher side as far as equity levels are concerned because the markets were very cheap. In the last two years, the markets have rallied significantly and today the fund is around 35% equity level."

While 46% of Nifty 50 stocks fell below 23rd December’s low, only 18.6% of NSE 500 stocks fell below their respective lows of the same day. Further, only 10% of small caps have a new low. Additionally, earnings performance analysis since 2020 shows that Nifty has given a positive return in January every time a negative return was seen in the last 15 days of December. Both these analyses encourage us to hunt for reversal chances in the coming weeks."

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The Banking Index was under immense selling pressure and on the weekly chart, it underperformed against the benchmark index. Bank Nifty has closed below 9 & 21 EMA on the daily chart but on the weekly time frame, index is trading above its 21 EMA which is placed at 41,017 levels. The overall trend is bullish as prices are trading within the rising channel pattern with higher high higher bottom construction on the weekly scale.

"The index is already trading in oversold territory so a pullback cannot be ruled out from the current level. The undertone remains bearish as long as the Nifty stays below 18,200 and BankNifty below the 43,000 mark. Since the markets have already witnessed a sharp correction a pullback rally can be deployed from the current levels."

"If we get any rallies, it is probably worth selling into in our view because I do not think in the next one year, China can make up for the kind of recession that we are going to see in Europe, UK. It’s looking like a mild recession in the US at the moment. It is going to get worse before it gets better for the metal stocks, probably it is the second half of 2023 trade."

“I think every dip should be bought into – be it 5% or 7% because the risk reward is favourable. We have three large events next year. One is the HDFC Bank merger will be over; we will have Reliance which is significantly under owned and the reversal of flows, which is more inflows coming into India.”

"The Nifty50 index has been showing lower top formation patterns on the daily chart since the last one month which suggests a bearish biased view and with the onset of result season, one can anticipate for fluctuations and swings this month. Currently, the 17,780-17,800 levels would be crucial which if decisively broken can trigger for fresh sell-off, with next downside targets visible near the 17500 and 17250 (200-DMA levels) zone."